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Notes on Bayesian Graduation
insurance premiums requires estimates of a set of mortality, interest, and expense parameters. In fixing ... science in the estimation of mortality parameters. Observed mortality probabilities often exhibit irregularities ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Donald A Jones, Thomas G Kabele, Stuart Klugman, Steven F McKay, Robert B Miller, Harwood Rosser
- Date: Oct 1977
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Bayesian Bivariate Graduation and Forecasting
our results in terms of the estimation of human mortality rates, but the results carry over to other applications ... methods;Cancer;Estimation methods;Life insurance;Mortality rates=Mortality tables=Death rates ;Statistical methods; ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller
- Date: Mar 1979
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Linear Programming Approach to Graduation
graduation [9]. In that method, graduated values u,, a" = 1, 2, . . . , n, are sought corresponding ... values u'-' and nonnegative weightsw, that minimize the quantity F -]- OS, where F = Y~"x.1 w,(u," -- ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Stuart Klugman, Robert B Miller, Donald R Schuette, Harwood Rosser, Thomas N E Greville
- Date: Oct 1978
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
distributions shifting over time is provided by annuity * Mr. Mitler, not a member of the Society, is ... FORECASTING mortality. The experimental evidence of this century is very convincing that annuity mortality ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller, Frank Reynolds, Richard W Ziock
- Date: Oct 1973
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
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Introduction
Introduction This article is a brief summary of the 1983 Actuarial Research Conference held September ... required for long-term population stability. Mortality probabilities also declined during this period ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller
- Date: Jan 1984
- Competency: Leadership>Professional network leverage
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional development